Trends Identified
Machine learning
“Machine learning has the potential to be one of the biggest disruptors over the next decade,” says DeLaney.
2017
5 big disruptive trends investors should watch
Morgan Stanley
Autonomous vehicles
Autonomous driving will be facilitated by the data-processing capabilities of machine learning, but its disruption capabilities are so widespread that Delaney considers it a separate category.
2017
5 big disruptive trends investors should watch
Morgan Stanley
Augmented reality
We can see this being useful in education and training because it basically overlays virtual images onto reality.” Augmented Reality (AR) can simulate real-world scenarios. “That allows orientations or training to take place in a safe environment vs. a real-world environment that can be more dangerous. Surgeons will be able to practice complex procedures before operating on patients, for instance.” AR might also have entertainment value, by enabling consumers to enjoy unique experiences like sitting on the field at a sporting event or traveling to exotic locations.
2017
5 big disruptive trends investors should watch
Morgan Stanley
Blockchain
In theory, Blockchain could disrupt any transaction that requires sharing a document or contract. Financial firms are most likely to see disruption because Blockchain’s shared-ledger approach could dramatically affect the time, cost and complexity around how transactions are recorded and how custodial business is done, says DeLaney
2017
5 big disruptive trends investors should watch
Morgan Stanley
Crispr
CRISPR is a new tool for genetic research that allows scientists to locate specific segments of DNA and then easily replace or delete them. “This could cause huge disruption to the way healthcare can be delivered today,” says DeLaney. “It offers the ability to cure a disease at the genetic level. For investors, it has the potential to create new industries and disrupt existing medical treatments.”
2017
5 big disruptive trends investors should watch
Morgan Stanley
The redistribution of geostrategic power.
The predominance of NATO and the West is likely to be increasingly challenged by emerging and resurgent powers.
2017
Strategic foresight analysis
NATO
Use of power politics.
The importance of NATO has increased for collective defence of the Euro-Atlantic region as it is the main framework that maintains a robust and an appropriate mix of nuclear and conventional capabilities.
2017
Strategic foresight analysis
NATO
Non-state actor influence in domestic and international affairs.
Non-state actors are expected to exert greater influence over national governments and international institutions and their role is likely to expand.
2017
Strategic foresight analysis
NATO
Challenges to governance
Emerging powers are increasingly challenging establishedglobalgovernanceinstitutionsandrequestinggreaterroles.Existing governance structures, particularly in weak and failing states, are not sufficiently addressing the requirements of the broader population.
2017
Strategic foresight analysis
NATO
Public discontent/disaffection and polarization
In western countries, risks such as undermined legitimacy of the government mandate, political impasse and the difficulty of implementing reforms and social polarization are likely to be increased.
2017
Strategic foresight analysis
NATO