Trends Identified
Boosted brainpower
It’s already common to use drugs to boost brainpower (whether it’s coffee, or something stronger, like modafinil), and most of the developed world now relies on their smartphones as an ‘externalised’ memory – but let’s extrapolate that out a few decades. Imagine targeted pharmaceuticals that make us think faster than currently possible, and technological implants that help us concentrate beyond normal human ability for hours or days, for example – these advances are already well underway in laboratories around the world. The question it raises is: what happens to those that cannot afford such enhancements? Could it widen inequality, and allow the rich to get richer? Then there’s also the legal and ethical issues: it’s acceptable to drink a coffee before you sit an exam, but is it ok to use an implant or a smart drug? The challenges posed by intelligence enhancement are only just emerging.
2017
10 grand challenges we’ll face by 2050
The BBC
Body-adapted Wearable Electronics
From Google Glass to the Fitbit wristband, wearable technology has generated significant attention over the past year, with most existing devices helping people to better understand their personal health and fitness by monitoring exercise, heart rate, sleep patterns, and so on. The sector is shifting beyond external wearables like wristbands or clip-on devices to “body-adapted” electronics that further push the ever-shifting boundary between humans and technology.The new generation of wearables is designed to adapt to the human body’s shape at the place of deployment. These wearables are typically tiny, packed with a wide range of sensors and a feedback system, and camouflaged to make their use less intrusive and more socially acceptable. These virtually invisible devices include earbuds that monitor heart rate, sensors worn under clothes to track posture, a temporary tattoo that tracks health vitals and haptic shoe soles that communicate GPS directions through vibration alerts felt by the feet. The applications are many and varied: haptic shoes are currently proposed for helping blind people navigate, while Google Glass has already been worn by oncologists to assist in surgery via medical records and other visual information accessed by voice commands.Technology analysts consider that success factors for wearable products include device size, non-invasiveness, and the ability to measure multiple parameters and provide real-time feedback that improves user behaviour. However, increased uptake also depends on social acceptability as regards privacy. For example, concerns have been raised about wearable devices that use cameras for facial recognition and memory assistance. Assuming these challenges can be managed, analysts project hundreds of millions of devices in use by 2016.
2014
Top 10 emerging technologies for 2014
World Economic Forum (WEF)
Blurring Boundaries
Blurring Boundaries the emergence of business ecosystems across traditional silos. Melting pots: As ICT technologies have permeated the fabric of our lives, we have entered an age of inundation with data and stories which have made decision-making a more challenging feat. While perhaps traditionally, individuals would fall in line with traditional societal expectations with regard to careers, interpersonal relationships, and political beliefs, today there is much more fluidity between one choice and another, leading to a culture of increased autonomy and thoughtful ambivalence. Co-development: As business ecosystems have formed, convening players across traditional silos, a swath of new opportunity in co-development and collaboration has emerged. In part this has emerged because of a blurring of the producerconsumer boundary, as consumer usage data and metrics feed into the design of new products and services versus in the past, when consumers were merely the recipient. Mass epidemics: An unintended consequence of open borders, free movement, and climate change, mass public health epidemics have begun to increase in outbreak frequency and impact. Blurring boundaries between species create new forms of antibody-resistant bacteria which affect animals and humans in significant ways. Mosquito-borne infections such as Dengue fever, West Nile virus, and malaria are transmitted across borders, often from affected countries in Africa and Asia. Shadow markets: As boundaries have blurred, the line between the traditional sectors and shadow markets has emerged, creating market complexity. A major contributor to the 2008 financial crisis was the emergence of a shadow market in financial services, in which risky loans were repackaged and sold as triple-A bonds. The opacity of these transactions was a critical contributor to the downfall of the big banks. Nation state 2.0:In recent years, there have been several political conflicts in which regions are demanding sovereignty as they protest against the political structures and physical borders within which they exist. Some conflicts have been in existence for many years, such as the political disputes between Hong Kong and the People’s Republic of China. Some states have succeeded in their political disputes to form new nation states, such as the 2011 creation of the Republic of South Sudan.
2017
Beyond the Noise- The Megatrends of Tomorrow’s World
Deloitte
Blockchains: An invention that could change our world
Blockchain technology is a very practical solution to the problem of storing, authenticating and protecting data. Think of a blockchain as a decentralized, extremely secure database. Or, to get slightly more technical, it’s a distributed, peer-to-peer ledger of records. While nothing is ever totally ‘hack-proof’, blockchain represents a huge leap forward compared to our current data security technology as, unlike a centralized database, there’s no one single point of failure. The records in a blockchain are called ‘blocks’ and every block is connected to the previous block (hence, ‘block’ and ‘chain’). The whole chain is self-managed, which means there’s no one person or organization in charge of the entire chain. If that sounds familiar, it might be because the virtual currency Bitcoin functions on blockchain technology. Financial services, insurance and healthcare are just some of the sectors where blockchains are likely to be heavily adopted. In fact, 90 percent of major European and North American banks are exploring blockchain solutions.
2017
9 Technology Mega Trends That Will Change The World In 2018
Forbes
Blockchains and trust: a revolution, reformation or just another tech-toy?
OECD statistics show a constant decline in trust in national governments since 2007. Recent scandals such as the Panama Papers play their part. However, the issue goes much deeper when corruption and fraud govern. Then, societal perceptions change even faster in search of solutions to poverty, inequalities and vulnerabilities in infrastructure. Here, the blockchain technology that undergirds crypto-currencies could have a far-reaching impact as it is a cheap, tamper-proof and data based technology that can replace trust with transparency. It is a breakthrough that will fundamentally change people’s notions of centralised authority. Hence, zero-trust computing, digital public ledgers and self-executing smart contracts are emerging, blockchain-based trends that will be increasingly important in the coming years — by 2023 at the latest, according to the World Economic Forum.
2016
Global Trendometer - essays on medium- and long-term global trends
European Strategy and Policy Analysis System (ESPAS)
Blockchain: Trust economy - Taking control of digital identity
Blockchain is outgrowing its adolescent cryptocurrency identity, with distributed consensus ledgers becoming smart contracts facilitators. Beyond creating efficiencies by removing the legal and financial intermediary in a contractual agreement, blockchain is assuming the role of trusted gatekeeper and purveyor of transparency. In the emerging “trust economy” in which a company’s assets or an individual’s online identity and reputation are becoming both increasingly valuable and vulnerable, this latest use case may be blockchain’s most potentially valuable to date.
2017
Tech trends 2017 - the kinetic enterprise
Deloitte
Blockchain: Democratized trust - Distributed ledgers and the future of value
Trust is a foundational element of business. Yet maintaining it—particularly throughout a global economy that is becoming increasingly digital— is expensive, time-consuming, and, in many cases, inefficient. Some organizations are exploring how blockchain, the backbone behind bitcoin, might provide a viable alternative to the current procedural, organizational, and technological infrastructure required to create institutionalized trust. Though these exploratory efforts are still nascent, the payoff could be profound. Like the Internet reinvented communication, blockchain may similarly disrupt transactions, contracts, and trust—the underpinnings of business, government, and society.
2016
Tech trends 2016 - innovating in the digital era
Deloitte
Blockchain to blockchains- broad adoption and integration enter the realm of the possible
Blockchain technologies are on a clear path toward broad adoption, with proofs of concept shifting toward production and leading organizations exploring multiple concurrent use cases of increasing scope, scale, and complexity. Moreover, initial coin offerings and smart contracts are finding more applications and creating more diversity throughout the blockchain ecosystem. Now is the time for organizations to begin standardizing on the technology, talent, and platforms that will drive future blockchain initiatives. Likewise, they can begin identifying business consortia to join. Beyond these immediate steps, they should also look to the horizon for the next big blockchain opportunity: coordinating, integrating, and orchestrating multiple blockchains working together across a value chain.
2017
Tech trends 2018
Deloitte
Blockchain Systems
Blockchain systems use a distributed ledger technology to promote transparency, trust, and decentralized validation among members of the digital network.
2017
Beyond the Noise- The Megatrends of Tomorrow’s World
Deloitte
Blockchain projects produce early results
Many financial institutions and blockchain/ distributed ledger technology labs have been working on proof of concept (PoC) and pilot projects, and some are starting to produce early results. A goal of this work is for parties to form consortia and set up commercial networks on shared infrastructure based on the blockchain. Multiple blockchain technologies are now emerging with different implementations and consensus algorithms. As certain projects may require interoperability between these different implementations, Nasdaq recently completed a PoC with the Singapore Exchange (SGX) and the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) demonstrating cross-blockchain settlement. This indicates that blockchain can provide a supporting role in the next generation CSD and the transfer of digital asset ownership. The emergence of different types of tokens is another trend. Some link directly to a fiat currency, while others are tokenized assets. In response, regulators worldwide are trying to build a legal framework for payment, security and utility tokens. Going forward, blockchain will likely be used as a solution for managing new types of financial and non-financial assets in markets everywhere – potentially including real estate, insurance and loyalty points. The token ecosystem will support the entire life cycle of the asset – from issuance and price discovery to execution and settlement, and perhaps corporate actions. Payments will either be done on the same network, via a link to an external payment network such as T2S or Swift, or via a utility settlement coin. Yet, some important questions remain unanswered. Who will take on the custodial aspects of dematerialized physical assets and digitized tokens on a blockchain, and manage know your customer and anti-money laundering compliance? The traditional custodians could assume that role, but disrupters could appear in markets that do not have custodians. Another question is who will be the arbitrator if and when a smart contract goes wrong? The smart contract hype cycle has nearly peaked, and the trough is about to begin. Technologists need to think about where smart contracts make sense and whether the programming languages should be Turing complete so they can run any program given enough time and memory. In the next few years, expect to see the major cloud providers supply the infrastructure for blockchain, and blockchain software companies consolidate as funding becomes more difficult.
2019
NASDAQ DECODES: TECH TRENDS 2019 -The technology trends that are driving the world of markets forward
Nasdaq