Trends Identified
Gender gap
The gender gaps in education and employment will continue to narrow up to 2030. There will be hardly any difference between men and women in primary education in 2030. By 2030, differences in secondary education will have fallen moderately, with 48% of men and 40% of women completing secondary education. In 2000, only 42% of men and only 32% of women over the age of 15 have had 9 or 10 years of formal education.
2011
Trend compendium 2030
Roland Berger Strategy Consultants
War for talent
The demand for qualified people exceeds the supply
2011
Trend compendium 2030
Roland Berger Strategy Consultants
Shift to global cooperation
Between today and 2030, the world will be characterized by increasing globalization, greater global complexity and technological advancement. Future problems will include international crises and serious risks of environmental pollution, affecting virtually every country in the world. These developments show how vulnerable the world is and will lead to a greater awareness of global responsibility.
2011
Trend compendium 2030
Roland Berger Strategy Consultants
Growing power of NGOs
Non-governmentorganizations(NGOs)likeAmnestyInternational,Greenpeace,WorldwideFundforNature,Transparency International, Human Rights Watch and Oxfam will grow significantly up to 2030. They will continuously increase the influence of global civil society and raise awareness for issues such as environmental protection, social justice and human rights. Low entry costs, low overheads and the capacity of individuals and groups to affiliate with each other using the Internet are facilitating this development. In particular, the global conferences of the United Nations (UN), starting with the Conference on Environment and Development (UNCED) in 1992 in Rio de Janeiro, have given NGOs a new position and greater acceptance.
2011
Trend compendium 2030
Roland Berger Strategy Consultants
Increasing philanthropy
Philanthropy will grow further on a global level up to 2030. Global donations and grants to Greenpeace increased consistently at the rate of 4% p.a. from 2000 to 2009; donations to Amnesty are currently ten times what they were in 1990. Global willingness to donate was not even stopped by the global financial crisis. The Haiti earthquake in 2010 led to USD 1.4 billion in donations to 96 organizations. About 30% of the world's population donates money to a charity every year, so the world will have about 2.5 billion active philanthropists by 2030. The growth of philanthropy also has a strongly emotional aspect: there is a strong correlation between giving money and happiness, with a coefficient of about 0.69.
2011
Trend compendium 2030
Roland Berger Strategy Consultants
Financial Markets and New Economics
We are on the cusp of a new industrial revolution; one that addresses the triple challenge of global economic recovery, energy security and climate change. We stand, perhaps somewhat portentously, at a turning point in the history of humanity. What is missing, however, is an economic vision or financial game plan that can bring the myriad issues and foremost priorities together with the common goal of creating a new political economy and monetary infrastructure fit for the 21st century.
2011
Just imagine - RICS strategic foresight 2030
Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS)
Global Governance and Economic Disparity
The great 21st century paradox is that as the world grows together, it also grows apart. Improved global governance is advanced to meet the challenge of increasing economic disparity. But this, in turn, leads to a further paradox: the conditions that make improved global governance so crucial – divergent interests, conflicting incentives and differing norms and values – are also the ones that make its realisation so difficult, complex and messy.
2011
Just imagine - RICS strategic foresight 2030
Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS)
Planetary Stewardship in an Age of Scarcity
We are experiencing a confluence of powerful trends. Huge, extraordinary, universal trends, any one of which could impact upon our present way of life are coming together. The scale is planetary; the scope is centuries; the stakes are civilisation; and the speed headlong. At times the problems seem intractable, and all tax the capacity and competency of bureaucracies to tackle them. There is the interplay of three potent forces – growing demand, constrained supply and increased regulation. As one participant put it: “We are like the sorcerer’s apprentice – having started something we can no longer control”. Nevertheless, understanding an organisation’s full exposure to resource risk, especially energy and the environment, will be a defining factor determining long‐term viability.
2011
Just imagine - RICS strategic foresight 2030
Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS)
Creative Cities with Connected Communities
City building has become the ultimate expression of mankind’s ingenuity. The 21st century, moreover, is set to be the century of cities, for cities are moving centrestage, with both the commercial and cultural world increasingly being characterised by cities rather than by countries. Though the world’s cities differ significantly, they should all espouse one particular key ambition – to pursue a path of sustainable urban development – enhancing their quality of life and economic competitiveness while reducing both social exclusion and environmental degradation.
2011
Just imagine - RICS strategic foresight 2030
Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS)
Productivity, Partnership and People
Sometimes the world seems to be upside‐down, inside‐out, counter‐intuitive and confusing. Who would have imagined, a decade ago, a freely available service such as Google having such a profound impact on almost everything; social networks like Facebook and LinkedIn potentially connecting everyone; distributors in the mould of Amazon selling everywhere; sites such as eBay selling almost anything; financial intermediaries like PayPal setting‐up all over; or sources such as Wikipedia expanding our knowledge for ever and evermore. Customers increasingly are in charge. The mass market is dead. Middlemen are doomed. The niche is nice. Clients collaborate. Interactive communities open‐source and invent. We have shifted from scarcity to abundance. Openness, not ownership, is the key to success. It is all a never‐ending conversation.
2011
Just imagine - RICS strategic foresight 2030
Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS)