Trends Identified
$2 LED Lamp
There is a high possibility that LED could be spotlighted to replace existing lamps, owing to its energy efficiency and long product life. However, the price should be lower than incandescent lamps. It is expected that if low-price LED lamps are available, the environmental trade barrier caused by the ban of incandescent lamps could be dealt.
2011
KISTEP 10 Emerging Technologies 2011
South Korea, Korea Institute of S&T Evaluation and Planning (KISTEP)
People
There is an implicit narrative about how the future will look: the big advances will be in “hard” disciplines like digital technology or material science. After all, some of our most spectacular successes in recent history, from space travel to the internet to smartphones, have been founded on work in these hard disciplines. This, it is said, is why education in the STEM fields is of utmost importance, because those will be the jobs of the future. The common vision of the future is of gleaming computers and sterile glass and steel constructions. But perhaps we are at an inflexion point, and rumblings of this change are already starting to become visible.
2017
Foresigth
Singapore, The Centre for Strategic Futures
Barriers to connectedness: wired but disconnected?
There is evidence that the financial crisis has led to a slowdown of globalisation, connectedness and economic integration. According to the DHL Global Connectedness Index 2012, the global connectedness of the world today is than it was in 2007 and still has to reach pre-crisis levels, with capital connectedness declining and service trades remaining stagnant since 2007 (Ghemawat and Altman, 2012). There is additional evidence that suggests that financial deepening (the expansion of financial markets and banking systems) and globalisation (as measured by financial integration and cross-border capital flows) have stalled as a result of the crisis (McKinsey Global Institute, 2013).
2013
Europe's Societal Challenges: An analysis of global societal trends to 2030 and their impact on the EU
RAND Corporation
Growing scale and urgency of climate change
There is no substantial doubt about the trend in global warming and there is a growing scale and urgency of climate change with global warming of more than 2C.
2014
Challenges at the horizon 2025
European Strategy and Policy Analysis System (ESPAS)
IT Security Will Respond Rapidly, Progressively—and in Proportion
There is no such thing as watertight IT security. Yet for years, business and technology leaders have acted as if the only alternative to a “fully secure” state is an unacceptable “fully breached” state. This “fortress mentality” is outdated— and no longer realistic or practical. Leading security specialists are devising reflex-like systems whose responses step up with the severity of the breach. In extreme cases, counterattacks may even become part of an organization’s repertoire of responses. We believe that new security solutions and architectures will, like human reflexes, respond instinctively to the growing speed, scale, and variety of attacks. This implies that for the first line of defense, people will not be part of the decision loops; the speed and frequency of attacks dictate that human responses must make way for automated capabilities that detect, assess, and respond immediately. And the increasing “attack surface” – across more devices, more systems, more people, more business partners, and broader physical infrastructure— supports the case for automated capabilities that detect, assess, and respond to external threats immediately.
2011
Accenture Technology Vision 2011
Accenture
The triumph of globalism
There is recognition that the socio-economic challenges do not recognize national boundaries and are best addressed cooperatively. Global governance has received new lifeblood with the full support of the traditional world powers and the newly industrialized countries. While states have taken the lead in establishing this new global order, the emergence of an active global citizenry, together with a newly invigorated UN system, has played an important role in the formation of new issue-focused networks that tackle a range of pressing grand challenges around energy, food, environment, health and poverty.
2011
ICSU Foresight Analysis
International Council for Science (ICSU)
The U.S. unauthorized immigrant population is at its lowest level in more than a decade.
There were 10.7 million unauthorized immigrants living in the U.S. in 2016, the lowest total since 2004, according to the most recent Pew Research Center estimates. The decrease is due mainly to fewer Mexicans entering the U.S. without authorization. The only birth region with an increase in unauthorized immigrants since 2007 was Central America – mainly El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras. Only three of the nation’s 20 largest metropolitan areas had larger unauthorized immigrant populationsin 2016 than in 2007. State populations of unauthorized immigrants vary widely. In some states, unauthorized immigrants represented one-third or more of all immigrants in 2016; in others, they accounted for less than one-in-ten. Nationally, unauthorized immigrants are one-quarter of all U.S. immigrants. The Mexican share of unauthorized immigrants also ranges widely, making up more than two-thirds of the total in the four states that border Mexico but far less in East Coast states. Nationally, Mexicans are about half of unauthorized immigrants. As with the total population, births to unauthorized immigrants have declined since 2007. About 250,000 babies were born to unauthorized immigrant parents in 2016, a decline of 36% from 390,000 in 2007, when the nation’s unauthorized immigrant population peaked.
2019
6 demographic trends shaping the U.S. and the world in 2019
Pew Research Center
AI For The Back Office
There’s a lot of hype around the potential of AI, but one area that is often overlooked is the power of AI to revolutionize workflows. In 2019, we’ll see the start of AI making a noticeable impact on the back office, from increasing electronic operations to streamlining identification and credentialing. These developments have the ability to transform labor-intense processes across industries.
2018
2019 Tech Forecast: 11 Experts Predict The Next Wave Of Breakout Technologies
Forbes
Synthetic realities
There’s a new kind of reality on the block. Generated and mixed realities are blurring the boundaries of “truth” and challenging how we value it. As synthetic realities become more normalized in 2019, organizations should look past the drama and fear associated with them. Instead, they should hone new strategies to capitalize on their creative potential and manage the risk of unwittingly being featured in a synthetic reality created by someone else.
2019
Fjord trends 2019
Fjord
Cloud Computing Will Create More Value Higher up the Stack
There’s no denying the momentum of cloud computing. Accenture’s research shows that enterprises are already moving applications into the cloud. 1,2 The demand is anything but an IT fad; it is coming from a host of business functions. And it is truly a global phenomenon; companies everywhere from Brazil to China are moving ahead rapidly with adoption. It’s clear that IT and business executives should expect cloud computing to become ever more pervasive– to the point that the term “cloud computing” itself becomes superfluous. But what’s needed now is a shift in thinking from obvious but nondifferentiating benefits such as cost reduction through cloud infrastructure to where the cloud will have its real impact. When we look at the different facets of cloud computing – Infrastructure-as-a-Service (IaaS), Software-as-a-Service (SaaS), Platformas- a-Service (PaaS), and so on – it is easier to see that most of the current emphasis on cloud is focused on the lower levels of the technology stack. For many large enterprises, the logical next step after virtualizing their data centers has been to leverage IaaS to augment those centers.
2011
Accenture Technology Vision 2011
Accenture