Trends Identified
Power of innovation
The basic innovations of the next 20 years are not easily predicted and there is no consensus of what to expect in 2030. For example, Vernor Vinge, a pioneer in Artificial Intelligence (A.I.), predicts that A.I. will surpass human intelligence after 2020, whereas THE FUTURIST puts the date in 2032. Predictions about future innovations are always risky – they may fail to materialize or do so at a different time – if and when they come true, they will dramatically change and dominate our lives. Therefore, we need to look at those potential changes
2011
Trend compendium 2030
Roland Berger Strategy Consultants
The age of life sciences
The innovative potential of biotechnology will increase by 2030 through convergence with other sciences, such as nanotechnology and ICT. Tremendous progress is expected in biotechnology, including new products and services such as regenerative cell therapies, more resistant crops and food with greater nutritional value and improved taste.
2011
Trend compendium 2030
Roland Berger Strategy Consultants
Know-how base
Performance of the global knowledge society will improve over the next twenty years. The cross-linking of knowledge via the Internet will increase significantly up to 2030. Some experts predict that Internet users will consume an average of 3 gigabytes of data per day by 2030. The Internet could already have 5 billion users by 2020, about 2.9 billion more than today. The build-up of knowledge networks in the Internet has already increased significantly to date. For example, since the online encyclopedia Wikipedia was launched in 2001, the number of English articles has risen to over 3.5 million (as of the beginning of 2011).
2011
Trend compendium 2030
Roland Berger Strategy Consultants
Gender gap
The gender gaps in education and employment will continue to narrow up to 2030. There will be hardly any difference between men and women in primary education in 2030. By 2030, differences in secondary education will have fallen moderately, with 48% of men and 40% of women completing secondary education. In 2000, only 42% of men and only 32% of women over the age of 15 have had 9 or 10 years of formal education.
2011
Trend compendium 2030
Roland Berger Strategy Consultants
War for talent
The demand for qualified people exceeds the supply
2011
Trend compendium 2030
Roland Berger Strategy Consultants
Shift to global cooperation
Between today and 2030, the world will be characterized by increasing globalization, greater global complexity and technological advancement. Future problems will include international crises and serious risks of environmental pollution, affecting virtually every country in the world. These developments show how vulnerable the world is and will lead to a greater awareness of global responsibility.
2011
Trend compendium 2030
Roland Berger Strategy Consultants
Growing power of NGOs
Non-governmentorganizations(NGOs)likeAmnestyInternational,Greenpeace,WorldwideFundforNature,Transparency International, Human Rights Watch and Oxfam will grow significantly up to 2030. They will continuously increase the influence of global civil society and raise awareness for issues such as environmental protection, social justice and human rights. Low entry costs, low overheads and the capacity of individuals and groups to affiliate with each other using the Internet are facilitating this development. In particular, the global conferences of the United Nations (UN), starting with the Conference on Environment and Development (UNCED) in 1992 in Rio de Janeiro, have given NGOs a new position and greater acceptance.
2011
Trend compendium 2030
Roland Berger Strategy Consultants
Increasing philanthropy
Philanthropy will grow further on a global level up to 2030. Global donations and grants to Greenpeace increased consistently at the rate of 4% p.a. from 2000 to 2009; donations to Amnesty are currently ten times what they were in 1990. Global willingness to donate was not even stopped by the global financial crisis. The Haiti earthquake in 2010 led to USD 1.4 billion in donations to 96 organizations. About 30% of the world's population donates money to a charity every year, so the world will have about 2.5 billion active philanthropists by 2030. The growth of philanthropy also has a strongly emotional aspect: there is a strong correlation between giving money and happiness, with a coefficient of about 0.69.
2011
Trend compendium 2030
Roland Berger Strategy Consultants
Financial Markets and New Economics
We are on the cusp of a new industrial revolution; one that addresses the triple challenge of global economic recovery, energy security and climate change. We stand, perhaps somewhat portentously, at a turning point in the history of humanity. What is missing, however, is an economic vision or financial game plan that can bring the myriad issues and foremost priorities together with the common goal of creating a new political economy and monetary infrastructure fit for the 21st century.
2011
Just imagine - RICS strategic foresight 2030
Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS)
Global Governance and Economic Disparity
The great 21st century paradox is that as the world grows together, it also grows apart. Improved global governance is advanced to meet the challenge of increasing economic disparity. But this, in turn, leads to a further paradox: the conditions that make improved global governance so crucial – divergent interests, conflicting incentives and differing norms and values – are also the ones that make its realisation so difficult, complex and messy.
2011
Just imagine - RICS strategic foresight 2030
Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS)