Trends Identified
Look inside-out for growth
Across the survey rang a general theme of hunkering down as CEOs adapt to the strong nationalist and populist sentiment sweeping the globe. The threats they consider most pressing are less existential (e.g. terrorism, climate change) and more related to the ease of doing business in the markets where they operate (e.g. overregulation, policy uncertainty, availability of key skills, trade conflicts). When asked to identify the most attractive foreign markets for investment, CEOs are narrowing their choices and expressing more uncertainty.
2019
22nd Annual global CEO survey
PWC
Look who’s talking
The rapid adoption of technology and the spoken word to enrich our lives.
2019
Trends 2019
Mindshare
Looking ahead, the projected structural shifts to the service sector could create complex pressures on job quality
Internal and external forces, such as technological progress, capital accumulation, globalization, demo- graphics and government policies, are expected to continue to spur the reallocation of employment across sectors of production. Across all income groups, an ever-increasing number of workers are projected to be employed in the service sector, while the employment share in agriculture is set to con- tinue its long-term downward trend. Furthermore, the share of manufacturing employment is expected to continue its decline in upper middle-income and developed countries, and to grow only marginally in lower middle-income ones. This confirms the ongoing trend of “premature deindustrialization”, whereby lower-income countries are seeing declining shares of industrial employment at earlier stages of development compared to developed countries.
2018
World Employment and Social Outlook
International Labour Organization (ILO)
Loot Boxes to be Banned Across Europe & North America
Found in video games, loot boxes are in-game packs often gifted to players as a result of completing in-game tasks and achievements. Increasingly, these are made available to purchase with real-world currency. As this practice involves a degree of luck, cases are being made that this constitutes a form of gambling and public bodies have requested that it be regulated. Notable action has been taken in the Netherlands and Belgium against the game publisher, EA Sports, regarding their FIFA titles, in which loot boxes are a prevalent feature. The most pressing issue that law makers face is the ability for these services to be accessed by minors. Juniper Research believes that 2019 will be the year in which loot boxes are banned. This will leave games publishers with the task of developing and distributing game updates that remove this functionality with immediate effect. Related Research: The Future of Sports Content: Technologies, Broadcast Strategies & eSports 2018-2023
2019
Top Tech trends 2019
Juniper Research
Lost cities
You don’t need to look very hard in a place like Miami to see how cities are changing in the 21st Century – rising sea levels are gradually making some of them disappear. Fuelled by climate change, not only are floods becoming more common in the streets, but the changing weather patterns have also influenced building design. Aside from more seawalls, the city is requiring all new buildings be built with their first floor built higher. But that’s all a sticking plaster – if current trends continue, we may have to come to terms with losing whole swathes of cities, islands and low-lying regions such as Bangladesh. The economic impact to regions will be profound, and climate refugees could become the norm.
2017
10 grand challenges we’ll face by 2050
The BBC
Low-cost robots may level the playing field
Sensors, artificial intelligence and robots will reshape heavy manufacturing and are likely to have a leveling impact across both developed and developing economies. While developing countries may lose their low-cost labour advantage as advanced economies deploy an affordable AI-enabled robotic workforce, both economies will be able to deploy AI and increase the productivity of their low-skilled workers.
2013
Metascan 3 emerging technologies
Canada, Policy Horizons Canada
Low-cost space travel
Example of Organizationsactive in the area: Space X/Elon Musk (US), Blue Origin (US), Virgin Galactic (UK), Rocket Lab (US), Axiom Space (US), SpaceIL (Israel), Firefly Aerospace (US).
2018
Table of disruptive technologies
Imperial College London
Loyalty will beat novelty.
Gen Z kids saw their parents lose homes and pensions to the financial crisis. As a result their perspective on work and money most closely resembles that of their great grandparents, who grew up in the Great Depression and prized security above fulfillment. “Millennials want a dream job,” says Pranam Lipinski, CEO of Door of Clubs, who surveyed thousands of Gen Z students about their values and preferences. “Generation Z wants success and financial stability over that dream job.” That means they’re far more likely to remain loyal to an employer that provides a stable environment and benefits — in Door of Clubs’ survey, 61% said they’d stay with an employer 10 years or longer. But watch out, warns Jill Schlesinger: It’s changing jobs that gets you significant raises. Too much loyalty will hurt your lifetime earning power.
2018
50 Big Ideas for 2019: What to watch in the year ahead
LinkedIn
Machine / robotics Automating common tasks
Machines and robotics are endowed with AI (programmed algorithms) to ful l set tasks and goals. These generally fall into two key categories: ‘speci c task-based AI’ (e.g. a web search engine or an autonomous vehicle) and ‘general AI’ that aims to replicate aspects of human intelligence (e.g. IBM’s Watson or humanoid robots like Honda’s ASIMO).
2017
Surfing the digital tsunami
Australia, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO)