Trends Identified
Don’t even try to guess the price of oil.
"Here’s a prediction for 2019: Energy markets are going to remain wildly unpredictable. One realization I came to when I worked on my last book was that most everyone who makes predictions about the future of oil prices is alike in one remarkable respect: They are wrong. "Remember M King Hubbert’s famous prediction of peak oil back in the 1970s? He looked roughly right — until the shale revolution changed everything. Now, the shale revolution is supposed to ensure a mammoth and growing supply of U.S. oil for the foreseeable future. 'Lower for longer,' meaning oil prices in the $50 range, has become something of a mantra on Wall Street. But skeptics suspect there may be fewer wells that are profitable at $50 oil than executives would have you believe. If so, and if the dearth of long-term projects over the past decade results in less supply than expected, there may be price spikes in the future. Or not. I think this is the ultimate truth about the oil market: It defies people’s attempts at predicting it, much less controlling it."
2018
50 Big Ideas for 2019: What to watch in the year ahead
LinkedIn
Dominance of the commercial sector in technological development
The advances in defence technology developments/sales and space exploration/exploitation by commercial sectors have taken away the monopoly that used to be held by governments
2017
Strategic foresight analysis
NATO
Do-it-yourself biohacking
2018 is just the beginning of a “trans-human” age where hacking biology and “extending” humans will increase in popularity and availability. This will range from simple diagnostics to neural implants and be subject to legal and societal questions about ethics and humanity. These biohacks will fall into four categories: technology augmentation, nutrigenomics, experimental biology and grinder biohacking. For example, biochips hold the possibility of detecting diseases from cancer to smallpox before the patient even develops symptoms. These chips are made from an array of molecular sensors on the chip surface that can analyze biological elements and chemicals. Also new to the Hype Cycle this year is biotech, artificially cultured and biologically inspired muscles. Though still in lab development, this technology could eventually allow skin and tissue to grow over a robot exterior, making it sensitive to pressure.
2018
5 Trends Emerge in the Gartner Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies, 2018
Gartner
Do-It-Yourself (DIY) Movement
Driven by the ubiquitous adoption of the Internet and smartphones, individuals are increasingly engaging with the digital world to make purchasing decisions and perform tasks without professional assistance.
2017
Beyond the Noise- The Megatrends of Tomorrow’s World
Deloitte
Do smart consumers want smart homes?
By early 2018, Apple will have launched its HomePod device, a smart home speaker/assistant to rival the likes of Amazon Echo and Google Home. With Samsung, Sonos and others also set to enter this space, competition to become the default name in this area will be erce.
2018
Trends 18
GlobalWebIndex
Do no harm
Humans will reassert themselves in the battle between safety and innovation as regulation of new technology evolves.
2018
Top Policy Trends of 2018
PWC
DNA fingerprinting and personal genomes
Personal genomes will replace more traditional forms of identification. Newborns will be screened for possible genetic diseases and the genome data will be added to the healthcare record as a reference diagnostic point. Genetic information will be available if necessary for specific purposes. While individuals will own and actively manage their genetic and health data, safeguards will make sure that fundamental rights, including human dignity will be preserved in the EU.
2015
Preparing the Commission for future opportunities - Foresight network fiches 2030
European Strategy and Policy Analysis System (ESPAS)
DNA data storage
Example of Organizationsactive in the area: Twist Bioscience (US).
2018
Table of disruptive technologies
Imperial College London
Divisive Values
Brands are no longer shying away from polarising political and social issues, and they’re increasing their fame and fortune in the process.
2018
Most contagious report 2018
Contagious