Trends Identified
Increased role of government in the private sector
2010
Business Redefined - A look at the global trends that are changing the world of business
EY
Increased stress and damage to vulnerable ecosystems and habitats
As cities expand into the countryside, the habitats of many animals and plants are reduced. Roads and other infrastructure are carving valuable habitats dividing wildlife populations into increasingly smaller groups. This has serious consequences for some of Europe’s most endangered species.
2014
Challenges at the horizon 2025
European Strategy and Policy Analysis System (ESPAS)
Increasing CO2 emissions
Increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases (GHG) have been the main driver of rising temperatures since the middle of the 20th century. The main GHG in the earth's atmosphere are water vapor, carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide and ozone. CO2 is the most important GHG that can be directly influenced by humans. Anthropogenic CO2 emissions from fuel combustion are by far the greatest contributor of GHG emissions.
2011
Trend compendium 2030
Roland Berger Strategy Consultants
Increasing environmental pollution
Across the world, ecosystems are today exposed to critical levels of pollution in increasingly complex mixtures. Human activities (such as energy generation and agriculture), global population growth and changing consumption patterns are the key drivers behind this growing environmental burden.
2015
Assessment of global megatrends - an update
European Environment Agency (EEA)
Increasing focus on resource efficiancy and climate change
In a global marketplace, "green" may well become the new global language. Worldwide, the pace of legislation and policy initiatives focused on green issues is clearly picking up Between July 2008 and February 2009, for example, 250 climate-change regulations were enacted globally as governments, both emerging and developed, hastened the implementation of policies to support clean technologies (cleantech). Mandatory standards on efficient energy consumption, biofuels, vehicle emissions and eco-labeling are going into effect in greater numbers than in previous years.
2010
Business Redefined - A look at the global trends that are changing the world of business
EY
Increasing inequality
Foresight reports repeatedly confirm this trend, particularly in the West, and see it as a pre-eminent concern. Inequality poses critical challenges for the process of European integration, in social, economic and political terms.
2016
Global Trendometer - essays on medium- and long-term global trends
European Strategy and Policy Analysis System (ESPAS)
Increasing Media Impact
The media will retain an overarching influence shaping an individual’s values and beliefs both consciously and unconsciously. However, this impact is likely to vary across states, dependent on the censorship and control systems they have in place. The ‘democratised’ Internet makes it likely that almost every member of global society is able to access free information from a variety of sources.
2010
Global strategic trends - out to 2040
UK, Ministry of Defence
Increasing national, regional and local budgetary deficits and diverging investment patterns in local and regional authorities
The budgetary deficits at national, regional and local level have risen, but the situation varies widely throughout the EU depending on economic and social positions. Also the investment climate has suffered with diverging borrowing costs and investment levels throughout the EU.
2014
Challenges at the horizon 2025
European Strategy and Policy Analysis System (ESPAS)
Increasing occurrence of severe weather events
Extreme weather events are a major consequence of climate change,
and are becoming more frequent, powerful and erratic. What is needed is not just relief when disaster strikes, but adaptation to the massive effects these phenomena produce, including disease, political unrest and economic stress – issues explored elsewhere in this report. It’s obvious that adapting to – or ideally, preventing severe weather events –results in a better outcome for everyone.
2014
Outlook on the global agenda 2015
World Economic Forum (WEF)
Increasing philanthropy
Philanthropy will grow further on a global level up to 2030. Global donations and grants to Greenpeace increased consistently at the rate of 4% p.a. from 2000 to 2009; donations to Amnesty are currently ten times what they were in 1990. Global willingness to donate was not even stopped by the global financial crisis. The Haiti earthquake in 2010 led to USD 1.4 billion in donations to 96 organizations. About 30% of the world's population donates money to a charity every year, so the world will have about 2.5 billion active philanthropists by 2030. The growth of philanthropy also has a strongly emotional aspect: there is a strong correlation between giving money and happiness, with a coefficient of about 0.69.
2011
Trend compendium 2030
Roland Berger Strategy Consultants