Trends Identified
Rise of anti-EU, anti-establishment movements
The economic and financial crisis has put pressure on the political fabric of EU integration. Anti-establishment and populist parties on the far left and far right are emerging throughout the EU. Exploiting the public sense of economic insecurity and fractured national identity, these parties blame the EU for job losses, public spending cuts and rising immigration.
2014
Challenges at the horizon 2025
European Strategy and Policy Analysis System (ESPAS)
More from less
The earth has limited supplies of natural mineral, energy, water and food resources essential for human survival and maintaining lifestyles. Data are revealing many of these resources are being depleted at often alarming rates. At the same time population growth_x000B_and economic growth are placing upward pressure on demand. The more from less megatrend explores how companies, governments and communities will discover new ways of ensuring quality of life for current and future generations within the confines of the natural world’s limited resources. Science, technology, business processes, government policy, lifestyle patterns and cultural norms will all play a role.
2012
Our future world - globla megatrends that will change the way we live
Australia, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO)
The global middle class will grow
The dramatic change in the global economic landscape will be both a cause and a consequence of the emergence of a new Global Middle and Rich class (GMR).4 At present, about a quarter of the global GMR population resides in developing countries. By 2030, the GMR population in developing countries will have overtaken that in advanced countries, and in 2060 about 60 percent of the world’s GMR population will reside in developing countries.
2011
Africa in 50 Years’ Time
African Development Bank
Targeting emerging markets
The divergence within the global economy is one of the main reasons why most CEOs (84%) say they’ve changed their company strategy in the past two years – with a third of them describing the change as ‘fundamental’. Only half the world is growing at a robust rate. Although the International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasts global growth at 4.2% for 2011, developed countries – which make up 52% of the world economy – are growing at only half that pace. In contrast, emerging markets are booming, with Indonesia, India and China all forecast to grow faster than 6%.1
2011
14th Annual global CEO Survey
PWC
Media an culture
The digital shift is having a profound and sometimes disruptive effect on creative ecosystems. New types of intermediaries between creators and consumers have emerged in the value chain. Co-creation of knowledge and culture through online social networks is a "game-changing" social innovation that empowers citizens and has the potential to address societal challenges. Users become ever more expert in creating their own user-generated content, as new cohorts of young people become adept at shaping and exploiting cultural and creative content through social media. Social media is poised to become the biggest component of mainstream media, in many cases at the expense of editorial media. Consumers’ appetite for new cultural formats and media – and their capacity to be active actors in this transformation - will depend on their ability to embrace the opportunities brought about by technology.
2015
Preparing the Commission for future opportunities - Foresight network fiches 2030
European Strategy and Policy Analysis System (ESPAS)
Technological breakthroughs
The digital revolution has no boundaries or borders. It is changing behaviour and expectations as much as the tools used to deliver new services and experiences. But many of today’s largest and leading organisations and businesses developed in an era of scarce, expensive and rigid technology. Delivering change for them is a complex proposition. Born digital businesses are change ready.
2017
Megatrends
PWC
Game Changers for Inclusive Innovation
The digital revolution has democratised innovation. On the one hand, users are much closer to producers and influence the way a product develops; they try out, evaluate and give feed-back. Also, the digital economy allows new – and smaller – players to enter the market and scale-up. In addition, the digital economy has created new markets, or new economic prospects. Think about bridging the gap between idle resources and potential users or customers. Uber or Airbnb are classic examples.
2016
Shaping the future
European Strategy and Policy Analysis System (ESPAS)
Technology diffusion
The diffusion of technologies is closely related to income. It is both a critical determinant of income and a result of rising incomes. As the world economy grows and countries get richer, the diffusion of technologies accelerates. In turn, as diffusion of technologies increases, a country's productivity rises, resulting in even stronger economic growth. As the world's wealth will grow by 4.0% p.a. from a real GDP of USD 62 trillion today to USD 135 trillion in 2030, the spread of technology will likewise increase further in that period.
2011
Trend compendium 2030
Roland Berger Strategy Consultants
Universal flu vaccine
The development of universal flu vaccine that can prevent influenza could improve the quality of life of the people who suffer from flu every year. The universal flu vaccine related technology needs to identify the certain parts of antigen that is well kept during the evolution process to be practically applied widely, in order to optimize its antigenicity for development.
2012
KISTEP 10 Emerging Technologies 2012
South Korea, Korea Institute of S&T Evaluation and Planning (KISTEP)
Next-generation telecommunications services based on space systems
The development of next-generation telecommunications services based on space systems holds special importance for our country in view of its colossal territory. In this field the development of new space vehicles and infrastructure is directed at providing consumers with accessible and quality communications services by increasing the speeds of data transfer, providing higher positioning accuracy and more opportunities for the use of positioning in difficult-to-access terrain. In the future, satellite communications systems and television signal broadcasting will be in demand throughout Russian territory. The development of this field will provide an increase in data transfer volumes and multimedia content, including between satellites, by shifting to transmission frequencies up to 100 GHz.
2016
Russia 2030: science and technology foresight
Russia, Ministry of Education and Science of the Russian Federation