Trends Identified
Productivity, Partnership and People
Sometimes the world seems to be upside‐down, inside‐out, counter‐intuitive and confusing. Who would have imagined, a decade ago, a freely available service such as Google having such a profound impact on almost everything; social networks like Facebook and LinkedIn potentially connecting everyone; distributors in the mould of Amazon selling everywhere; sites such as eBay selling almost anything; financial intermediaries like PayPal setting‐up all over; or sources such as Wikipedia expanding our knowledge for ever and evermore. Customers increasingly are in charge. The mass market is dead. Middlemen are doomed. The niche is nice. Clients collaborate. Interactive communities open‐source and invent. We have shifted from scarcity to abundance. Openness, not ownership, is the key to success. It is all a never‐ending conversation.
2011
Just imagine - RICS strategic foresight 2030
Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS)
Products and services to guarantee quality of life
Growth in the market for products and services to guarantee quality of life will be linked to the emergence of specialist portals (both for various professional groups and for the population at large), as well as the development of continuous monitoring systems for important human physiological parameters based on mobile solutions. In terms of bioinformation technologies, the most in demand will be the results of innovative development at the juncture of micro-, nano- and biotechnologies, including algorithms and software to reveal the base mechanisms at work in the brain and memory and integrated systems to prevent health risks.
2016
Russia 2030: science and technology foresight
Russia, Ministry of Education and Science of the Russian Federation
Programmable bacteria
Example of Organizationsactive in the area: Gingko Bioworks (US), US Naval Research Laboratory (US), US Army Research Lab (US), Darpa (US).
2018
Table of disruptive technologies
Imperial College London
Prosthetics and body implants
Pushed by ever more knowledge on tissues, bio-compatibility of materials, biological processes and IT, prosthetic implants are about to be developed for ever more human body parts. Europeans will continue to embrace this development. Double-digit growth rates can be expected. There will also be policy and regulatory challenges. The question of affordability and a possible social divide may arise.
2015
Preparing the Commission for future opportunities - Foresight network fiches 2030
European Strategy and Policy Analysis System (ESPAS)
Protectionism
29% of responding CEOs answered that they were 'extremely concerned'
2018
Global CEO survey
PWC
Public dept
Public debt is expected to operate as a significant
constraint on fiscal and policy options through to 2030 and beyond. Governments’ ability to bring debt under control and find new ways of delivering public services will affect
their capacity to respond to major social, economic and environmental challenges.
2014
Future State 2030: The global megatrends shaping governments
KPMG
Public discontent/disaffection and polarization
In western countries, risks such as undermined legitimacy of the government mandate, political impasse and the difficulty of implementing reforms and social polarization are likely to be increased.
2017
Strategic foresight analysis
NATO
Public divided on prospects for the next generation
Even in some places where views of economic conditions have improved, there is pessimism when it comes to the financial future of the next generation. About half of people (52%) in Germany, 58% of Americans and 72% of Japanese say that children today will grow up to be worse off financially than their parents were. Other countries where majorities hold this view include South Korea (55%), the United Kingdom (68%) and Australia, Canada and Spain (69% each). While views in countries with advanced economies tend to be pessimistic, opinions are more mixed in developing and emerging economies. Roughly three-quarters of people in India (76%) and Nigeria (72%) expect children today to be better off than their parents, as do 95% of people in Vietnam. On the other hand, after years of economic struggles, 51% of Venezuelans say children today will grow up to be worse off than their parents, up from just 21% in 2013.
2017
6 trends in international public opinion from our Global Indicators Database
Pew Research Center
Public mood monitoring
Example of Organizationsactive in the area: Open Utility/Essent (UK/Netherlands), Knowelsys (China).
2018
Table of disruptive technologies
Imperial College London
Putting customers at the centre of innovation
CEOs are placing a higher premium on innovation today. Since 2007, business leaders have consistently reported that their single best opportunity for growth lay in better penetration of their existing markets. Now they’re just as likely to focus on the innovation needed for new products and services (see Figure 5). It’s high on the agenda in virtually all industries, including industrial sectors such as metals, chemicals and manufacturing.
2011
14th Annual global CEO Survey
PWC