Trends Identified
For most, population as a source of growth will need to be replaced
Most of Europe and East Asia, by contrast, is expected to see labour-force declines, representing a severe drag on growth. Japan will see the greatest decline of over one-quarter, from 66m to 47m; China and South Korea are also expected to experience a 17-18% contraction in their labour forces.
2015
Long-term macroeconomic forecasts Key trends to 2050
The Economist
Food: 'Russia will become a global food superpower'
When experts talk about the coming food security crisis, the date they fixate upon is 2030. By then, our numbers will be nudging 9 billion and we will need to be producing 50% more food than we are now. By the middle of that decade, therefore, we will either all be starving, and fighting wars over resources, or our global food supply will have changed radically. The bitter reality is that it will probably be a mixture of both. Developed countries such as the UK are likely, for the most part, to have attempted to pull up the drawbridge, increasing national production and reducing our reliance on imports. In response to increasing prices, some of us may well have reduced our consumption of meat, the raising of which is a notoriously inefficient use of grain. This will probably create a food underclass, surviving on a carb- and fat-heavy diet, while those with money scarf the protein. The developing world, meanwhile, will work to bridge the food gap by embracing the promise of biotechnology which the middle classes in the developed world will have assumed that they had the luxury to reject. In truth, any of the imported grain that we do consume will come from genetically modified crops. As climate change lays waste to the productive fields of southern Europe and north Africa, more water-efficient strains of corn, wheat and barley will be pressed into service; likewise, to the north, Russia will become a global food superpower as the same climate change opens up the once frozen and massive Siberian prairie to food production. The consensus now is that the planet does have the wherewithal to feed that huge number of people. It's just that some people in the west may find the methods used to do so unappetising.
2011
20 predictions for the next 25 years
The Guardian
Food by design
Can innovation align delicious with sustainable, affordable and healthy? The US$5 trillion global food industry is experiencing the cross-currents of disruption. Food companies deliver mass products from far-flung supply chains even as consumers demand local, transparently sourced, personalized foods. Agriculture generates 24% of greenhouse gases, consumes 70% of fresh water† and occupies nearly 40%‡ of the global landmass. Climate change and population growth render this kind of resource consumption increasingly untenable. The diffusion of the modern western diet contributes to a variety of global health problems, such as heart disease, cancer and diabetes. More people now suffer from obesity§ than from malnutrition. Innovations at the intersections of food, biotech, wellness and digital are emerging from these cross-currents to design new ways to eat.
2018
What’s after what’s next? The upside of disruption Megatrends shaping 2018 and beyond
EY
Food and Water
By 2040, the global population is likely to increase to 8.8 billion requiring concomitant increases in the supply of food and water. Given that agriculture accounts for over 70% of global freshwater usage, the availability of food and water will be intimately related.181 Over 900 million people were undernourished in 2007. This represents a declining proportion of the global population, but in absolute terms is 80 million more than in 1990– 92, with the largest increases in Asia and in sub-Saharan Africa.182 Similarly, it is estimated that around 2.5 billion people live in regions suffering from water scarcity, predominantly in Africa, the Middle East, as well as Central and East Asia. Of these almost 900 million lack access to safe drinking water causing more than 5 million deaths per year. Fertiliser production is an energy intensive process, and the challenge, with a heavy reliance on science and technology, will be to produce more food on less land with less water, fertiliser and pesticides, while using less energy.
2010
Global strategic trends - out to 2040
UK, Ministry of Defence
Follow the Crowd
Influencers were everywhere in 2018, but are they about to be usurped?
2018
Most contagious report 2018
Contagious
Focused IT Services
Differentiation drives new value in a sleepy sector
2018
Corum Top Ten Disruptive Technology Trends 2018
Corum
Focus on Transparency
Expectations of government transparency are growing while personal data is becoming more ubiquitous, creating new implications for privacy, cybersecurity, and accountability.
2017
Beyond the Noise- The Megatrends of Tomorrow’s World
Deloitte
Flying Cars Reach for the Skies
Get ready to throw out the conventional road safety rule book. You might not have to check skywards just yet when you cross the road, but flying cars are getting ready to ruffle some feathers (and it’s not just birds we are talking about!). Numerous competitors laid the groundwork in 2017, testing their flying vehicle models, with more expected in 2018. The biggest leap forward in this space, and in the public’s popular imagination, will be the much anticipated launch of a flying taxi service in Dubai this summer. Expect more buzz worthy investments as awareness becomes more widespread.
2018
Top 10 Tech Trends For 2018
Forbes
Fluid collaboration
Collaboration across time zones and geographies is the new business norm. Given the realities of global workforces, carbon-reduction efforts, and the drive for greater productivity, no one expects these numbers to go anywhere but up. Still, the basic technologies that under-pinday-to-day collaboration (such as e-mail) have changed only incrementally in the past decade. Where will the new capabilities come from to equip a more productive, more effective workforce? There will be three sources:• From innovation around the core functions of e-mail, messaging and voice. As communications become more unified, vendors can begin to deliver features—like robust, unified search—that will have real impact. • By expanding the core suite of tools. The challenges to doing so are less technical than practical. For example, valuable tools to improve virtual meetings already exist, in the form of videoconferencing, screen-sharing, digital whiteboards, and more. But these tools are not universal, interoperable or even always user-friendly. With the growing power of the (universal, user-friendly) Web platform, the equation will change. • By supplementing the core messaging suite with collaboration systems based around the principles of publishing and aggregation. A fast-evolving array of tools for social chatter, wiki writing, tagging, rating and voting will provide enterprises with ways to tap human capital, increase peripheral awareness and sustain engagement.
2010
Accenture technology vision
Accenture
Fisheries/aquaculture
Fisheries and aquaculture are a vital source of nutritious food, economic opportunities and jobs. Large volumes of fish are traded in international markets and the European Union is by far the world’s biggest importer. Over fishing continues to be a problem worldwide, though in the EU the proportion of fish stocks advised as over fished has fallen from 94% in 2005 to 39% in 2013. In 2013, the EU adopted the objective of the maximum sustainable yield for the management of its fisheries. Global aquaculture has grown at an impressive rate over the past decades and could provide two-thirds of world fish production by 2030. An increase in world human population from 7 billion towards 9 billion by 2050, and the emergence of a middle class will significantly increase demand for fish. Given the limited potential for further growth in world capture fisheries production, future demand will mainly rely on a substantial increase in aquaculture production.
2015
Preparing the Commission for future opportunities - Foresight network fiches 2030
European Strategy and Policy Analysis System (ESPAS)